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Stop Pretending the Next Terror Plot Will Announce Itself

As the U.S.-Israel campaign against Iran widens, former intelligence officer Dino Buloha warns the real danger may already be inside our borders — radicalized, recruited online, and waiting. He lays out exactly what Washington must do before the next attack.

Published:
"The next attack may not come with hijackers and box cutters. It may come with one radicalized American, recruited through a screen, nudged in encrypted chats, and pushed into violence by a propaganda machine that turns murder into purpose."

America's Dangerous Habit

America has a dangerous habit: we hit the gas after tragedy, then coast when the smoke clears.

Right now, as the U.S.-Israel campaign against Iran widens and leaders openly warn it may last weeks and possibly longer, Americans are watching the battlefield overseas and forgetting the domestic front at home. The next strike meant to punish us won't need a bomber wing. It may need one radicalized actor, one soft target, and one moment of opportunity.

After 9/11 we built real muscle: fusion, surveillance with warrants, financial tracking, Joint Terrorism Task Forces, overseas partnerships, and a culture of disruption. It worked. And then, slowly, we started acting like terrorism is a chapter we already finished.

The Modern Threat: Smaller, Faster, Harder to Spot

It's not. The next attack may not come with hijackers and box cutters. It may come with one radicalized American, recruited through a screen, nudged in encrypted chats, and pushed into violence by a propaganda machine that turns murder into purpose. That's the modern threat: smaller, faster, harder to spot, and designed to slip through normal life until the moment it doesn't.

This isn't theory. It's what we've been stopping. On January 2, 2026, the Justice Department announced the FBI disrupted an alleged ISIS-inspired New Year's Eve attack plan before it could be carried out. That is what prevention looks like when the system works: early identification, fast coordination, and decisive action.

Politicians love speeches after bodies hit the pavement. I'm asking for discipline before that happens. Because recruiting has changed, and too many leaders are still talking like it's 2001.

How Radicalization Actually Works Today

Al-Qaeda, ISIS, and their imitators recruit like modern predators. They don't need to find a target in a mosque or a training camp. They let the algorithm deliver the vulnerable to them. They hunt for grievance, loneliness, identity crisis, and anger—then they offer a clean villain, a sense of belonging, and a mission that flatters the ego.

Then the pitch turns: Prove it.

This is how it looks in real life. A young American spirals online. It starts with outrage clips. Then sermons cut into bite-size rage. Then a private message: "You're not alone." Then encrypted platforms. Then research. Then a to-do list. Not a battlefield. Not a foreign passport. Just an apartment, a screen, and a countdown in someone's head.

We've seen how close that gets to catastrophe when the system misses early signals or when we assume it can't happen here.

Case Files: When the System Missed — and When It Didn't

In 2009, Najibullah Zazi admitted he conspired to use explosive bombs against persons or property in the United States in a plot tied to al-Qaeda — one of the clearest reminders that overseas networks can still help push violence toward American targets. In 2009 at Fort Hood, Major Nidal Hasan killed 13 people and wounded more than 30; he was later convicted of 13 counts of premeditated murder and 32 counts of attempted murder. In 2013, the Boston Marathon bombing killed three and injured hundreds — carried out by two self-radicalized brothers who turned ideology into mass casualty reality.

And now, in Austin, the FBI is investigating a potential terrorism motive after a gunman opened fire while wearing a sweatshirt that read "Property of Allah" over a shirt with an Iranian-flag design — an ugly reminder that symbols and narratives from overseas conflicts can show up on American streets.

Different methods. Different profiles. Same outcome — Americans dead on American soil.

And the end state is always the same — convince an American to kill Americans. Make them murder their own neighbors — people they would have called "brother" and "sister" — and call it holiness. That's the business model.

Smart Counterterrorism vs. Collective Suspicion

Now let me be clear, because sloppy politics helps terrorists.

Protecting the United States does not mean treating Muslim Americans like suspects by default. That's not security — it's lazy. It's also exactly what recruiters want. But it is also true that the FBI follows leads wherever the facts take them, including into religious spaces, when there is lawful predication. We are a nation of targeted investigations, not collective suspicion. That line matters. It's the difference between smart counterterrorism and self-inflicted wounds.

The Machinery That Stops Attacks Before They Happen

Where Washington needs to focus is not on slogans, but on the machinery that stops attacks before they happen.

Interagency cooperation isn't a nice-to-have. It's the center of gravity.

When the CIA, FBI, DHS, HSI, state and local partners, and allied services share intelligence at speed, Americans live. When they don't, we get funerals, commissions, and lessons learned. This is why Joint Terrorism Task Forces matter. This is why watchlisting matters. This is why frictionless intelligence-sharing matters. The threat moves fast. The government has to move faster.

Right now, U.S. agencies including the CIA, FBI and HSI are multiplying efforts to identify, track, and foil any pro-Iranian regime actors who might attempt a terrorist attack against our nation's interests in the United States and abroad, or against our allies' interests. In that fight, intelligence sharing becomes the most critical determinant and most active factor to protect our nation and our military in the campaign against the Ayatollah regime.

A Message to Congress and Every Candidate Running on Strength

So here's my message to Congress and every candidate running on strength.

After 9/11, Democrats and Republicans stood as one nation against a common enemy — not playing politics while Americans were still bleeding. That posture helped power the intelligence and operational momentum that removed key terrorist leaders: Osama bin Laden, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, Ayman al-Zawahiri, Anwar al-Awlaki, and others. That is the same attitude we need today: both sides treating Iran as a common enemy of our homeland and to our allies in the region and acting like it.

Here is what that means in practice now:

Fund the unglamorous pieces that actually prevent attacks — analysts, language capabilities, cyber exploitation, digital forensics, sources, and the joint operations that fuse federal, state, and local intelligence into action. Cut the bureaucratic friction that slows information sharing. Tighten the process so the right people see the right threat streams fast — without drowning in classification games and agency pride.

Our Allies Are Part the Defense

And don't pretend this fight is only domestic.

Our allies matter — especially partners who fight radicals on their own soil because they've been hit too. Countries like Morocco, the UAE, Bahrain, Egypt, and Jordan have been serious counterterrorism partners, and Israel has been a vital intelligence-sharing partner. That cooperation matters in practice: identifying facilitators, disrupting travel routes, sharing watchlists, and choking off financing. That is how networks get dismantled here and abroad before they can reach American streets.

The Wider Threat: Cartels, Fentanyl, and Transnational Crime

Now let's widen the lens, because Americans feel something else happening at the same time and Washington keeps treating it as a separate conversation.

Terrorism isn't only religious. And the country isn't only threatened by ideology.

Transnational criminal networks — especially the cartel-driven trafficking ecosystem — are running a mass-casualty business inside the United States. Different motive than terrorism, same result for American families — death, fear, and communities hollowed out. The fentanyl era has turned overdose into a national hemorrhage. That's not just crime. That's strategic poisoning for profit.

And when criminal networks exploit disorder, they don't just move drugs. They move people, cash, weapons, coercion, and corruption. That does not mean immigrants are the enemy. It means cartels and smugglers exploit gaps, and the government's job is to restore control at the border, at ports of entry, in parcel flows, and across the financial systems that launder their profits.

America can face religious radicals, homegrown extremists, and transnational criminal empires at the same time. The only responsible posture is layered defense — intelligence fusion, lawful surveillance, community trust strong enough that people report danger early, strong border and port enforcement, and a justice system that moves fast on real threats.

Prevention Is Boring. Funerals Are Televised.

Because the next plot won't come with a warning label. It will come through a phone, a private chat, a moment of weakness, and a decision made in silence.

So I'll ask Washington one question it can't dodge.

Are you building a prevention machine or just writing your speech for the next memorial?

Because the next plot won't come with a warning label. It will come through a phone, a private chat, a moment of weakness, and a decision made in silence.

But Americans don't stay divided when the stakes are real. When a threat targets our democracy and our way of life, we close ranks, we share the work, and we act as one nation. That unity — backed by intelligence, law, and resolve — is how we keep plots from becoming funerals and keep our country standing.


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Dino Buloha - Former U.S. Intelligence Officer

Dino Buloha - Former U.S. Intelligence Officer

Dino Buloha is a former U.S. Intelligence Officer and counterterrorism expert with 15+ years’ experience across Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa, advising the White House and Pentagon on regional security and strategic initiatives.

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